Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.168482 3.347126 3.536774 3.754194 3.997962 4.264529 4.580422
2025-08-31 2.890098 3.131839 3.401473 3.728260 4.118958 4.578441 5.171541
2025-09-07 2.657931 2.933745 3.252802 3.656410 4.164730 4.801097 5.689943
2025-09-14 2.468854 2.763491 3.114071 3.573023 4.176663 4.974884 6.175168
2025-09-21 2.310384 2.614358 2.984147 3.481822 4.160509 5.101792 6.617141
2025-09-28 2.216873 2.535994 2.933018 3.482913 4.262444 5.402719 7.393522
2025-10-05 2.200180 2.550692 2.999089 3.643329 4.604730 6.119602 9.111304
2025-10-12 2.141887 2.506567 2.982454 3.684822 4.774740 6.597914 10.613157
2025-10-19 2.086479 2.461821 2.960272 3.713952 4.926689 7.076861 12.396582
2025-10-26 2.056541 2.448416 2.979012 3.803573 5.187820 7.824476 15.483146
2025-11-02 2.000148 2.395426 2.937572 3.795861 5.279974 8.259459 18.142313
2025-11-09 1.908823 2.290142 2.815189 3.651141 5.109985 8.088395 18.429531
2025-11-16 1.833235 2.208745 2.730594 3.572792 5.075563 8.273963 20.807732
2025-11-23 1.777349 2.152796 2.680692 3.547574 5.140018 8.726634 25.672116
2025-11-30 1.714646 2.084602 2.609093 3.481154 5.117484 8.964950 30.396439
2025-12-07 1.653983 2.016856 2.534731 3.404510 5.065349 9.115955 35.608614
2025-12-14 1.595882 1.950559 2.459386 3.320816 4.988945 9.181835 41.073215
2025-12-21 1.562610 1.918570 2.434454 3.321655 5.088589 9.816783 63.151070
2025-12-28 1.565332 1.938545 2.490076 3.468133 5.529725 11.857228 950.187703
2026-01-04 1.543310 1.921015 2.485694 3.505902 5.734649 13.256855 NaN
2026-01-11 1.520275 1.900908 2.475886 3.532405 5.918725 14.781563 NaN
2026-01-18 1.509480 1.898544 2.494298 3.613923 6.261499 17.632106 NaN
2026-01-25 1.482279 1.870193 2.468535 3.606899 6.368905 19.344544 NaN